Investors …time to wait and watch!

It’d seem the stars are aligned: low rates, population growth, low vacancy rates, strong rental market and a shortage of housing in the majority of capital cities.

Since the latter 2008, the number of loans to first home buyers has outweighed substantially those to existing owner-occupiers and investors as first-time buyers rush to take advantage of the increased government grant. These numbers are set to surge in the next two months after the Prime Minister indicated that the increased grant will end June 30. In previous interest-rate cycles, lending to investors and existing home buyers increased alongside that to first-home buyers.

Partly, the reason is that investors aren’t getting the first-home-owner grant, and when you’re laying your own money down instead of the governments’, you tend to think more carefully before deciding to take the plunge. Unemployment concerns and fears about how the economy will evolve this year are also reasons why investors aren’t yet entering the market.

Consumer sentiment figures released earlier this month by the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Survey found pessimists still outnumbered optimists and, with the prospect of more unemployment, that’s unlikely to change anytime soon.

Interest rates are one of the crucial aspects investors consider. During the past month or so, several of the big banks have increased their fixed mortgage rates, even though variable rates are expected to go even lower.

Banks say it’s due to an increase in the rates in the wholesale market where they access funds. Not everyone accepts that that is the reason, but most acknowledge it’s a signal borrowing costs are near their lowest levels!!

Some economists believe fixed rates will continue to rise as banks manage their risk, and it’s just a matter of the speed at which it happens. Of course, fixed rates are not popular at the moment even with investors who traditionally use this option.

That’s not a surprise, given the cash rate is expected to fall to 2 per cent by the end of the year.

But fixed rates are a bit of a barometer of the longer term trend in interest rates, so they’re worth watching. It also pays to remember that just because the Reserve Bank of Australia cuts rates’, that doesn’t mean banks have to follow suit.

Only time can tell, whether or not property buying will be better next year!

Maybe investors are waiting for a sign that unemployment will stop rising, or for first-home buyer activity to dry up!

Inner-city living …CHEAP…and where YOU can find it!!

You may know it, buying properties within 10km of capital cities is generally a good investment, but where ARE the most affordable areas?

There’s some suburbs within 5km of capital city centres where the median unit price is $200,000 and the gross rental yield 5.33%?

You don’t have to buy far from the city centre to pick up a bargain!

And it’s not a bad strategy for identifying best value properties to find ones located in affordable suburbs within a 10 kilometre radius of the city!

For some cities, the inner circle can be more or less, depending on the size of the city, however, generally it’s a good rule of thumb because it’s these areas that are more likely well serviced by transport, have social and retail amenities close by AND benefit from strong rental demand!

Below are the five most affordable suburbs for houses and units within a 5km radius of Melbourne City.

Melbourne - houses

Melbourne - units